Denver at Miami

Nikola Jokic continues to be day-to-day with an elbow issue, but either way, Denver has beaten the Heat in nine of the past 10 meetings while covering the spread in seven of them, including a 135-122 victory on Nov. 8. The Nuggets had their four-game win streak snapped in a loss to Houston on Wednesday, but it was after they beat Dallas on the road the night before. Denver has covered its past four road games and it is 8-1 straight up against the Southeast Division. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS on the road against Miami and 11-3 ATS in the past 14 meetings overall. The Heat are just 2-6 ATS their past eight games and they have lost 12 of 17 January games outright dating to last season. Miami will be a tired squad as it just completed a six-game trip in a 10-day span and it lost the last two. Take the Nuggets.