Denver at Memphis

The Denver Nuggets went from a strong looking playoffs team a year ago to a very ordinary team this season. They did take a hit when leading scorer and point guard Ty Lawson went down. The Nuggets simply don't have a suitable alternative to run the offense, and in the 13 games he has missed they are 3-10 ATS, and 1-10 straight-up in the last 11 he missed. This has left the Nuggets with some value here. Memphis started the season in a hole, but dug themselves out with a strong stretch, but appear to be running on empty, and are the team needing to win the most. But, they are a weak 1-3 in their last four games. While they may have enough to find the win column tonight at home, I just don't see the margin making it over the top. Grab the points on Denver.