This is yet another 1st half under play. Despite their high-scoring nature, Denver plays lower scoring games vs. top competition. They are 47-28 UNDER to the first half total in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the past decade. The Lakers are 40-22 to the UNDER the past two seasons at home after an OVER. They are also 14-4 UNDER the first half total after allowing 110 points the past three seasons. They are also 9-1 UNDER this number this year after allowing 105+. It all adds up to an inflated first half line that we will exploit.
This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2012 at 5:05PM ET.
NBA
Denver at Los Angeles
January 5, 2007
10:35 PM Eastern
3 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 107 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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