img NBA

Denver at Los Angeles

December 31, 2011
img3:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

One of my favorite NBA angles is to play on the OVER when there has been shooting anomalies that ultimately revert back to the mean, but at the same time the oddsmakers have to post a total that they deem is fair based on public perception. That gives us a duel advantage going into a game. I have a base angle that plays exactly on this which is 54% winners on one condition with over 2,600 games in the database. This game has one added condition, becoming a 58.1% chance of winning with over 900 games in the database. That certainly is an investment-oriented advantage. As a result, the play is on the OVER in this one.

2 units on Game Total OVER 198 -110 (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Denver Nuggets
23
22
26
18
89
Los Angeles Lakers img
22
24
23
23
92
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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