Denver at Indiana

Denver is coming off a good game while Indiana has struggled their last two. But this game is in Indiana and it's the fourth straight road game for the Nuggets. One of the Pacers' bad losses came to a very good Clippers team. In the other, vs. Charlotte, they had an 8-point fourth quarter lead but somehow blew it. They aren't that bad. Indiana has scored 119+ in two games and under 90 in three others. Which team will show up here? We expect them to score against a Denver team without a good defense. The Nuggets are allowing 103 per game (105 on the road). Denver is playing back-to-back road games and under George Karl, they are just 17-30 ATS in that situation. We like the live home dog here.