Denver at Houston

This line is saying the Denver Nuggets who are 11-8 on the road are even with the Rockets who are 13-5 at home, if you take out the home-court advantage of three points. I disagree. The Nuggets are off a seven game home stand and a two game road winning streak against teams with losing records, so the 7-2 mark over their last nine isn't as good as it looks. The truth is the Nuggets are just 1-5 ATS and straight up on the road in their last six vs teams with a winning record. The Nuggets already lost in Houston by 12 and failed to get to the 100 point mark. The significance is the Nuggets are just 4-8 ATS in their last 12 when the total is set below 200, because it shows they are playing a defensive team that slows their offense. I like the Rockets in this one.