Denver at Cleveland

Denver has a winning road record because of great defense, Top 10 in the NBA in points surrendered and at defending beyond the arc. The Nuggets are 9-4 ATS following a spread loss, plus 27-14 ATS revenging a straight-up loss to an opponent as a favorite. Cleveland has lost 11 of 15, is ranked #27 in scoring offense, the defense is #25 in points surrendered, and the Cavs are dead last in field goal shooting allowed (49.1%). Cavaliers center Andre Drummond (calf), guard Darius Garland (groin), Tristan Thompson (knee), and starting guard Kevin Porter, Jr. (concussion) are all questionable to play. The Cavaliers are 43-64 ATS against teams that shoot 46%+ from the field, plus 11-20 ATS at home versus teams who make six or more three-pointers per contest. Play Denver.