This pick was released to clients on May 15, 2024 at 10:53AM ET.
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Dallas at Phoenix

May 15, 2022
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The home team has won all six games in this series and none has been by a final margin of fewer than seven points. Phoenix now gets the all-important home-court advantage in Game 7, and since 1982, home teams are 70-19 straight up and 48-39-2 ATS in Game 7s in the NBA playoffs. The Suns scored a season-low 86 points on 39.7 percent shooting in Game 6 and that is nine percentage points below their season average overall and they shoot 49.5 percent at home. The last four games have stayed UNDER and Dallas is 7-2 UNDER their past nine games and the last two games have gone UNDER by an average of 18.5 points. The Mavericks are 3-10 ATS the past 13 meetings at Phoenix and 7-18 ATS the past 25 meetings overall. The Suns have covered five of six following an ATS loss and four of five overall with two days rest. Also, Phoenix is 34-16-1 UNDER its past 51 games after a loss. Two picks on this game: Take the Suns as a Max Play, and play the full game UNDER as a Max Play.

2 units on Phoenix -6.5 (-102) (risk 2 to return 3.96)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 205 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks img
27
30
35
31
123
Phoenix Suns
17
10
23
40
90
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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