This pick was released to clients on May 15, 2024 at 10:53AM ET.
img NBA

Dallas at Phoenix

May 15, 2022
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The home team has won all six games in this series and none has been by a final margin of fewer than seven points. Phoenix now gets the all-important home-court advantage in Game 7, and since 1982, home teams are 70-19 straight up and 48-39-2 ATS in Game 7s in the NBA playoffs. The Suns scored a season-low 86 points on 39.7 percent shooting in Game 6 and that is nine percentage points below their season average overall and they shoot 49.5 percent at home. The last four games have stayed UNDER and Dallas is 7-2 UNDER their past nine games and the last two games have gone UNDER by an average of 18.5 points. The Mavericks are 3-10 ATS the past 13 meetings at Phoenix and 7-18 ATS the past 25 meetings overall. The Suns have covered five of six following an ATS loss and four of five overall with two days rest. Also, Phoenix is 34-16-1 UNDER its past 51 games after a loss. Two picks on this game: Take the Suns as a Max Play, and play the full game UNDER as a Max Play.

2 units on Phoenix -6.5 (-102) (risk 2 to return 3.96)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 205 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks img
27
30
35
31
123
Phoenix Suns
17
10
23
40
90
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NBA picks and predictions.

Join 408,749 Subscribers!