This pick was released to clients on May 26, 2024 at 11:15AM ET.
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Dallas at Golden State

May 26, 2022
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Golden State seems to do this every round, that is give the opponent a win in an otherwise lopsided series before putting them away the next time out with relative ease. Look for that trend to continue as the Warriors go for another Gentleman's Sweep after losing 119-109 on Tuesday when Luke Doncic scored 30 points for the desperate Mavericks. It snapped a nine-game winning streak in Western Conference finals games for Golden State and now it goes home where the Warriors have covered nine of their past 11 games. Dallas is 1-5 ATS its last six road games and 9-4 OVER its past 13 on the road and 12-5 OVER overall against teams with winning records. Game 4 went OVER by 12 points as the teams combined to shoot nearly 50-percent overall. 14 of the past 20 meetings have soared OVER. Golden State lost to Memphis by 39 points in Game 5 when leading 3-1 in the conference semifinals and then blew out the Grizzlies in Game 6. Look for a similar result tonight. Play the Warriors to cover, and take the OVER.

1.5 units on Golden State -7 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
0.5 unit on Game Total OVER 215.5 -109 (risk 0.5 to return 0.96)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks
23
29
32
26
110
Golden State Warriors img
28
41
25
26
120
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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