Dallas at Toronto

Dallas is just 4-3 on the road and makes a long road trip north of the border to the Canadian cold. The Mavericks are 1-6 ATS against the NBA Atlantic Division. Dallas is not a good defensive team, #16 in points allowed and #29 at defending the three-pointer, allowing 40% shooting. They just needed OT at home to beat the Knicks. Toronto is 9-1 at home - the best team in the East. Toronto shoots well from three-point land (36%, #11 in the league) and can take advantage. The Raptors are 9-3-1 ATS against the Western Conference and the Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in Toronto. The value is with the home team to win the game, so take Toronto on the moneyline.