Dallas at Toronto

Dallas is 9-2 at home but a sub-par 5-6 on the road. They are scoring 107.3 per game at home but just 99.5 on the road. They have allowed six of their last eleven opponents to score triple digits, allowing 103.3 per game on average and nearly 105 per game over their last five. Toronto is 7-5 at home, scoring 100 per game and playing solid defense. Home teams off a double-digit win are 93-30 in non-conference games over the past five seasons! Dallas beat Toronto in Dallas on November 20th but Toronto is 20-11 since last year revenging a same-season loss. They are likely without TJ Ford here but we think the rest of the team plays that much harder and we like Toronto's chances at the outright win here. Dallas is 24-11 UNDER in the first half when favored on the road by 6 points or less since last season. Toronto is 31-17 UNDER in the first half at home off a road game the past three seasons. We like Toronto on the moneyline and the first-half UNDER here.