Dallas at San Antonio

The Dallas Mavericks sizzled down the stretch, finishing the regular season at 23-6 over their last 29 games. Lost in the streak was the fact that they finished just 4-4 in their last eight vs. winning teams and surprisingly, three of the losses were at home. While many are surprised that San Antonio took a game in Dallas, you can see it isn't as surprising as it looked. The Spurs finished up 18-8 themselves and were 4-1 at home in their last five vs. winning teams, including the likes of the Lakers, Orlando, Cleveland, and Oklahoma City. The Spurs have had a playoff pedigree for over a decade, leading to a 19-6-2 ATS mark as a playoffs favorite. I'll go with San Antonio here.