This pick was released to clients on March 29, 2024 at 11:49AM ET.
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Dallas at Sacramento

March 29, 2024
img10:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

An excellent situational spot for the home team. Dallas plays its third consecutive road game, as well as its seventh road game over the last 10 contests. They walked all over the Kings in the last game, 132-96. The offense is 27th from the free throw line, while the defense is 20th in points surrendered and shooting allowed, plus 18th at defending beyond the arc. Star Luka Doncic (33.9 points, 9.1 rebounds, 9.8 assists per game) has an Achilles injury and may not play. The Mavericks are 32-45 ATS after a victory and 0-9 ATS off a win as an underdog. Sacramento is a very good home team and has had two days to rest and regroup since being embarrassed by the Mavs. The Kings are ninth in the league in scoring (117.3 points per game) and 12th in shooting. They're 42-24 ATS after a defeat, 24-8 ATS off a home loss, 23-12 ATS off a loss as a favorite, and 17-6 ATS after a game where they allowed a 55% shooting or higher. Play Sacramento. 

1.5 units on Sacramento PICK (-115) (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks img
26
25
22
34
107
Sacramento Kings
34
26
22
21
103
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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