Dallas at Sacramento

The Sacramento Kings just can't seem to get things going. Their last winning season was all the way back in 2005. They have been a very ugly 232-455 since the start of the 2006 season, and are just 39-147 when facing a team that is better than .630. The Kings have averaged less than 100 points per game in those games vs. elite teams, and they will be hard-pressed to hang around in this one. The NBA does not have a better covering road team over the last six years as the Mavs have that crown by quite a distance from their nearest foe. Dallas owns a 149-94 ATS mark in their last six seasons when playing on the road. They have also held those opponents to under 100 points, and have averaged exactly 100 themselves, while over the same period they're averaging 103 points per game at home, so they defend better and score less, and win and cover a lot of games away from Dallas. They have shown up for the poor home teams of late as well logging a perfect 5-0 ATS mark in their last five vs. a team that is UNDER .400 at home, and more recently they are 66-32 ATS on the road. The Kings have not competed very well vs. the elite teams as they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. a team over .600. The Mavs are now 24-9 to the UNDER in their last 33 vs. a losing team, and the last five in this series have played UNDER the total. Take Dallas and the UNDER.