Dallas at Portland

The Dallas Mavericks trail the Memphis Grizzlies by just four games for the best record in the NBA West. They have made some key additions with Rondo and Stoudemire in an attempt to go for it this year. Portland has won four straight games, but is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after a win, and Dallas has failed to cover just twice in the last eight meetings in Portland. Over the past two season, the Mavs are 26-15 ATS in expected close games (line of +3 to -3). They are also 45-28 ATS the past three seasons as a road dog including 17-6 ATS as a small road dog of +3 or less. Take Dallas.