This pick was released to clients on May 02, 2024 at 11:57AM ET.
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Dallas at Phoenix

May 2, 2022
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Dallas Mavericks are feeling good about themselves after defeating Utah in six games and Luka Doncic has recovered from his injury. Doncic and Jalen Brunson each scored 24 points in Game 6, and Dallas held the Jazz to 42.8 percent shooting on their home floor, while two of the Mavericks' straight-up wins came on the road. Phoenix had a tougher time than expected vs. New Orleans in six, and had to endure a hamstring injury to Devin Booker. The Suns won all three meetings this season, but Dallas covered the number in two of them and two of the losses were back in November when Dallas wasn't playing nearly as well. Dallas is 25-10-1 ATS its past 36 games overall and 10-4 ATS as a road underdog. The UNDER is 9-3 when the Mavs play with at least three days rest and they are 44-20 UNDER as underdogs. Phoenix has gone UNDER six of seven as a home favorite and six of the last eight meetings have stayed UNDER. The Suns have also stayed UNDER six of their last seven home games overall. The last three games of the Utah series went UNDER and they averaged just 89.3 points in the first half. Three plays on this game: Take the first-half and full game to stay UNDER, and take the Mavericks to cover. 

1 unit on Dallas +5.5 (-102) (risk 1 to return 1.98)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 110 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 214.5 -107 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks
25
31
23
35
114
Phoenix Suns img
35
34
27
25
121
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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