This pick was released to clients on December 25, 2023 at 5:26AM ET.
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Dallas at Phoenix

December 25, 2023
img10:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Dallas is on a 2-4 SU/ATS run. They have injuries to two of their top eight scorers. Second-leading scorer Kyrie Irving (23 ppg) is questionable with a foot injury, along with second-leading rebounder center Dereck Lively II (8.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg). Dallas is 27th from the charity stripe (75%) and 19th in field goal shooting, while the defense is 22nd in points given up and shooting allowed. This is their fourth road game over the last six contests and the Mavericks are 14-33 ATS after having lost two of three, 17-34 ATS after a victory, and 9-20 ATS off a home win. While Dallas is working on one day of rest, Phoenix is at home working on two days of rest. The Suns are fifth in the league from the free-throw line (82.6%), while the defense is Top 10 at defending beyond the arc. NBA home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing just their second game in five days are 42-18 ATS after failing to cover the last three contests. Play Phoenix. 

1.5 units on Phoenix -4 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks img
36
28
27
37
128
Phoenix Suns
24
30
38
22
114
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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