Dallas at Oklahoma City

The Oklahoma City Thunder is still under the radar despite the fact they are 12-11 on the season. It's hard to escape the team that went 2-25 to open the season a year ago, but have improved dramatically. This is a team that took the Lakers to overtime at home, and thrashed Orlando here by 26 points, so they are definitely capable of the win here. Oklahoma City played Dallas tough in all three games last year as they lost by just four in Dallas, won by nine at home, and lost a game in OT here. The Mavs have not been good in this spot as a small favorite of up to 4.5, they are just 9-19 ATS in their last 28, and the Thunder have been roaring back after a loss to go 38-16 ATS. I like Oklahoma City in this one.