This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2012 at 10:52PM ET.
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Dallas at New Orleans

December 16, 2006
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Dallas has slowed down having lost three straight and five of seven ATS. An Allen Iverson-less Philadelphis managed just 70 points against them last game but the Mavs still failed to cover the spread. New Orleans hasn't fared a whole lot better and they are off a very embarrassing loss to San Antonio. We expect them to bounce back with a strong showing here in an effort to avoid another embarrassing loss to a top team. Dallas, despite their underperformance ATS, has won three of four games outright and they are unlikely to get too concerned about this 10-11 New Orleans squad. Back to the motivation of New Orleans. In the NBA, home teams in division games coming off a division blowout loss by 20+ are 22-4 ATS the past five years! This is a team with a winning record SU and ATS at home and eight points is a lot. We'll back New Orleans.

2 units on New Orleans +8 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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