This pick was released to clients on May 21, 2024 at 11:56AM ET.
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Dallas at Minnesota

May 22, 2024
img8:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Minnesota first had to play without Karl-Anthony Towns for nearly five weeks and it weathered that storm. More recently, the Timberwolves had to come back not only from a 3-2 series deficit, but had to come from behind after being down 15 points at halftime to win on the road at Denver in Game 7 on Sunday night. Overcoming all that adversity has made the Timberwolves a stronger team as they head into the Western Conference final against Dallas, which lost by 44 points in the last meeting on Jan. 31, although the Mavericks were playing short-handed. Minnesota is 38-24 UNDER in the first half its past 62 games, and Sunday's full game stayed UNDER by 13.5 points as the Timberwolves played outstanding defense for the second game in a row. The Mavericks stayed UNDER three of their last four games against Oklahoma City. Take the Timberwolves on the moneyline (full game), and take the first half UNDER.

1 unit on Minnesota -175 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.57)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 106 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks img
27
32
23
26
108
Minnesota Timberwolves
33
29
21
22
105
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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