Dallas at Minnesota

Dallas is not playing with the defensive commitment they showed last year. It shows in their record, and shows on what they are lacking on the road. The Mavs stand at just 6-8 SU on the road, but more importantly just 5-9 ATS, and just 3-8 ATS on the road as a favorite. We have faded this young T-Wolves team on many occasion noting they can't cover the "short spreads,” but also noted their ability to cover the bigger numbers. The Wolves are a lofty 11-6 ATS as a +8 or more. Dallas may already be on the plane to Detroit, much like Boston was in a lackluster performance against Memphis. We ride the Wolves to stay in the game against a disinterested Dallas team.