Dallas at Minnesota

Dallas has turned things around, on a 5-5 SU, 7-2-1 ATS run. That included wins over Memphis, Milwaukee and Oklahoma City as underdogs. Young Minnesota has traded wins and losses over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves are still trying to figure things out defensively, #18 in the NBA in points allowed, last in field goal shooting allowing .483% from the field. Minnesota is a big favorite but has been overvalued, on a 3-8-1 spread run. The Timberwolves are 6-15-2 ATS against a team with a losing record, plus 8-22-3 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, so back the dog in a close one. Play Dallas.