Dallas at Milwaukee

Dallas is a dog, but is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA at fourth in points allowed. The Mavericks are 23-8 ATS following a defeat, plus 15-7 ATS playing on one day of rest. Dallas is also 21-10 ATS when their opponent scores 100+ points in their previous game. Milwaukee is on a 6-1 SU run, but four wins were by three points, including Friday's overtime victory over Detroit. Dallas won the first meeting in a defensive duel, 86-75, and the Bucks are 6-13 ATS at home against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Play Dallas.