This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:26PM ET.
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Dallas at Memphis

April 29, 2006
img5:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Contrarian play. Dallas has absolutely dominated Memphis, crushing them by 10 in game one and 15 in game two. Memphis has looked completely lost. Well, time for a bounce back. They know they must win this game to have any shot. Returning home, I think they put forth a great effort and get the must-have win - their first ever postseason win. Dallas can't help but let down a bit here. They are in commanding control and coming off a 15 point blowout win. They have shown a propensity this season to do just that as they are just 9-19 ATS following a 10+ point win. Here at home is where the Grizz play their best defense. They have allowed just 85.9 points per game here all season long on way to a 30-11 record. They clamp down tonight on Dallas and come away with the win.

2 units on Memphis -1 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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