Dallas at Memphis

Dallas is an abysmal 8-31 straight-up on the road and leading scorer Luka Doncic (21.2 ppg) is questionable with a thigh injury. The offense is terrible, #21 in points scored, #26 in shooting, #25 in three-point shooting. The Mavericks are 5-11 ATS against the Western Conference, plus 5-14-2 ATS when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game. Dallas is also just 1-9-2 ATS against losing teams. They head to Memphis, a team with a winning home record, on an 11-4 ATS run at home. The Grizzlies won the first two meetings by a combined 40 points, then won at Dallas, 122-112, on Friday as a +4 dog, so they go for the series sweep. The Grizzlies are 14-6 ATS versus the Western Conference, plus 8-2 ATS at home following a road trip of seven or more days. Play Memphis.