Dallas at Los Angeles

Pau is back and with him, the Lakers again become the team to beat. They have slid somewhat under the radar during his absence. They fell to third place but someone folks have forgotten how good the Lakers are with him in the lineup. Dirk is back for Dallas too but who cares? This team cannot beat a winning team, with or without him in the lineup. Sure, they beat Golden State the other night but prior to that one game, they had lost 11 straight games vs. winning teams! We put more weight on the 0-11 than the 1-0. If Dallas is to have a fighting chance vs. good teams, it has to be at home where they are 31-7 on the season. On the road they are just 16-21 both SU and ATS. They are 5-13 ATS this season on the road vs. winning teams. The Lakers defense is weak but their offense is so good that it doesn't matter. We forsee a track meet here with Dallas really struggling to keep up with the potent Lakers offense. Dallas is 8-1 OVER this season on the road vs. teams at .600 or better. We like LA and the OVER here.