It has not been the start the Dallas Mavericks had hoped for, and sometimes when a team loses games early, the only answer is to turn up the defense. It is hard to control the ball going through the hoop, but it is easy to make a defensive commitment, and we would expect one here tonight. The Clippers have won 3 in a row, and are certainly feeling good about themselves. There are a lot more signals to this game going under than just an anticipated defensive effort by the Mavs tonight. The Clippers have built a solid homecourt advantage, and it has been done by playing defense. They have gone under in 24 of last 35 games, playing vs a team with a losing record, and at the same time, when they have been a favorite in their own building, have logged an amazing 31 of 46 unders or almost 70%! This series when played in LA has not been rattling the scoreboard either. The last 3 years (6 meetings), have all gone under the total. The average points scored in these 6 games has been an amazing 18 points a game under the posted total! The public seems to be favoring the over in this one at about 70%, yet the line has dropped from 192 to 190. It appears that some bigger money has cast its vote, and so have we!
This pick was released to clients on September 13, 2012 at 5:54PM ET.
NBA
Dallas at Los Angeles
November 8, 2006
10:35 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 190 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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