Dallas at Los Angeles

The first six games of this series have been won by the visiting team, but Game 7s are a whole different situation in the NBA playoffs as the home team is 69-17 straight up and 47-37-2 ATS since 1982. Los Angeles has won three of the last four and is playing great defense, unlike the first two games of the series. Kawhi Leonard tied his playoff career-high with 45 points in Game 6, as well. Dallas has scored an average of only 94.3 points the last three games while shooting less than 40%. All three games went UNDER, and the Mavericks managed only 45 points in the first half on Friday night. Eight of the past 10 meetings have gone UNDER, and Dallas is 22-5 UNDER as an underdog, 10-2 as a road dog. The Clippers have covered five of six playing with one day of rest. I have three picks on this game. Take the Clippers ATS, the First-Half UNDER, and the full game UNDER.