This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 1:28PM ET.
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Dallas at Houston

April 28, 2005
img9:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Dallas got smacked in the nose and find themselves as playoff road underdogs down 0-2. Not good for the confidence. And without that confidence, they're going to have a tough time of it tonight in Houston who have a lot more mojo going for them right now. The Rockets are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four at home. The Mavericks are 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games. Also, they are 8-7 ATS in their last 15 on the road. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the Mavericks. You might be worried that this is a "must-win" for Houston. Well, wasn't game 2 a must-win for them? Didn't do much to motivate them then. Houston plays amazing defense on their home floor (hold opponents to 41.3%). Expect the Rockets to explode in the fourth quarter and run away with this to put a fork in the Mavericks. Three stars on the Rockets.

3 units on Houston -1.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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