Dallas at Detroit

After playing Denver twice, Boston, Toronto, Milwaukee, and Golden State, Dallas catches a break in the schedule. The Mavs come off of a 116-113 win over the Warriors as an underdog with Luka Doncic scoring 41 points. Dallas is 93-64 ATS after three consecutive contests of getting outrebounded by 5+ boards per game, plus 154-117 ATS on the road against teams that are outscored by 3+ points per game. Detroit is 26th in the NBA in scoring, 29th in shooting, and 24th from long range, while the defense is 29th in points surrendered and 28th in field goal shooting allowed. The Pistons just gave up 140 points at home to the Knicks, and NBA underdogs like the Pistons that average 45 or fewer rebounds are 7-24 ATS after a game where they were outrebounded by 20+ boards. Play Dallas.