This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 11:27AM ET.
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Cleveland at Seattle

December 2, 2005
img10:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Cleveland layed a beating on the Supersonics earlier this season, winning 112-85. Cleveland is beating up on lots of opponents this year and are one of the elite teams right now. They've won 9 of 11 and are off a very impressive win against one of the league's other hot teams, the Clippers. The Cavs are pouring in 102.3 per game and holding opponents to 95.6. Seattle's defense has led to their mediocre 6-8 record. Cleveland will feast on that as over the past two seasons, they are 16-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams that allow >46% from the field. Also, favorites off an home win in which they scored 110+ points now facing an opponent off a home win are 68-29 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Cleveland does see about a 3-point drop off offensively when playing on the road and Seattle plays a bit better defense at home too. I see this one going UNDER with Cleveland covering. One star on each.

1 unit on Cleveland -3 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
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