Cleveland at Milwaukee

Milwaukee likes to run, but Cleveland is about slowing the pace down. The young Cavs come off a 116-101 win over Washington as a +7.5 dog and is on a 5-2 spread run against winning teams. Cleveland hit 15 three-pointers and shot 52.8 percent along with a 49-33 advantage on the glass. The Cavaliers are on a 7-3 run UNDER the total on the road, plus NBA road dogs of 10+ that allow 48% shooting or more are 139-89 ATS. They face a Milwaukee Bucks team that had to play yesterday, squeezing out a win at Toronto in a fierce game. It's the second of a back-to-back spot, plus the Bucks have a division showdown with Indiana on deck. Milwaukee is on 2-6 spread run, including 1-4 ATS at home. They're also on a 7-3 run UNDER the total, so back the rested big dog in a defensive duel. Play Cleveland and the UNDER.