Cleveland at Miami

The Miami Heat know that the NBA season is long, because they expect to be left standing in June for the Finals, and that makes for a long grinding season. They tend to pick their spots and nothing about the Cavaliers is going to get their adrenaline moving. The Cavs are 3-9 and are just 1-7 on the road. But, bad teams have a tendency to play hard vs. the elite teams, as they provide incentive. While the Cavaliers have been bad, they haven't been getting blown out. Over their last 10 games their biggest loss was by 15 points, so I expect them to stick around here. If you look at their last seven trips to Miami they have fared very well at 5-2 ATS. This one goes to the Heat, but it will be a lot closer than most expect, so the Cavs stay inside the number. Take visiting Cleveland in this one.