Cleveland at Miami

The Cavaliers are doing their best to keep up with the Lakers for the crucial home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. Their calling card has been on the defensive end as they have allowed just three teams with winning records to reach 100 points against them on the road. When on the road, the Cavs have played to the UNDER to a mark of 19-11 this season. The Cavs are also 25-10 to the UNDER after a straight-up win, so the defense is fueled by winning results. The Heat has turned up the defense when posted as a small home dog (up to 4.5), as they have played UNDER 17-8 in that situation. These teams have had a history of low-scoring games as 12 of the last 17 have gone UNDER the total. When they play in Miami, the UNDER is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings between these two in Florida. All signs point to the UNDER in this one, so I'll back it!