This pick was released to clients on April 27, 2024 at 11:22AM ET.
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Cleveland at Indiana

April 27, 2018
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Pacers let one get away in Game 5, but they still are 51-36 ATS and 54-32-1 UNDER this season. The last five meetings have gone UNDER and they are 7-0-1 UNDER the last eight meetings. Wednesday's game went UNDER by 12.5 points and Cleveland shot only 41.3 percent. LeBron James was almost a one-man show again, pouring in 44 points although Kyle Korver made some clutch three-pointers down the stretch. Indiana has covered the number in seven of the last nine meetings, and the last five at Indiana have stayed UNDER. The Pacers are 10-2 ATS their last 12 games against teams with winning records and have covered seven in a row when following a loss. The Pacers have gone UNDER in 10 of their last 12 home games and they are 5-2 ATS over their last seven home contests. Even if the Pacers can't contain James, they will clamp down immediately on the perimeter players, including Korver. Play the Pacers for the game and take the first half UNDER.

2 units on Indiana -1.5 (-101) (risk 2 to return 3.98)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 104 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
PUSH
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Cavaliers
26
21
20
20
87
Indiana Pacers img
29
28
35
29
121
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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