Cleveland at Golden State

Stick a fork in the Cavs for this one. Not because of a lack of effort, but because of injuries. They just don't have any bodies on offense to help LeBron score. They've had to slow the pace to a crawl with their lack of depth and it showed the last game in a 103-82 Warrior rout Thursday night. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS following a double-digit loss at home. Cleveland will continue to slow things down, on a 5-1 run UNDER the total on the road, as well as 21-9-1 UNDER following a loss. Now they have to fly to the West Coast against a Golden State team that has the best record in the NBA and is 20-5-1 ATS playing on two days rest. Golden State finally made some key adjustments in Game 4, showing some double-teams at LeBron and taking Andrew Bogut out of the lineup to get back to playing at the speed they like. Cleveland's defense had no answer for it. Golden State is also great on defense, No. 1 in the NBA in field goal shooting allowing 42% during the regular season. The Warriors are 8-1-1 UNDER the total at home, including a 13-3 run UNDER overall. Golden State is the far deeper, balanced and talented team and the home crowd will be sky-high. Cleveland is 5-11 against the Warriors, including 2-6 ATS on this court, while the UNDER is 6-1 when they clash. The Warriors are also 17-7-1 ATS at home against a team with a winning road record, so grab home court in a defensive battle (again). Play Golden State in Game 5 and the game UNDER the total.