This pick was released to clients on June 12, 2023 at 12:11PM ET.
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Cleveland at Golden State

June 12, 2017
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Cleveland saved face, bouncing back from blowing Game 3 at home to avoid the sweep with a Game 4 victory. Now they return to the House of Horrors to watch Golden State celebrate an NBA Championship. Cleveland has played three times on this court since winning Game 7 a year ago. They've lost those three games 126-91, 113-91 and 132-113. Golden State was tops in field goal defense and at defending the three-pointer during the regular season. The Cavaliers shot 52.9% the last game, including 24-of-45 from three-point land. They won't do anything close to that for this game, just as Kevin Durant and Steph Curry won't go two-for-nine from long range, as they both did in Game 4. Durant is averaging 34.3 points in this series, off a game where he didn't shoot well but still hit 15-of-16 free throws and scored 35 points. Golden State is in a great situational spot as teams are 45-18 against the spread off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a favorite while revenging a road blowout loss of 20+ points by the same opponent. In Games 1 and 2 Cleveland was 11-of-31 and 8-of-29 on three-pointers. The Warriors are 22-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5-9.5 points this season and they are on an 18-10 ATS run at home against Cleveland, including 8-4 ATS the last 12 meetings here. Lay the points and take Golden State in Game 5.

1.5 units on Golden State -8.5 (-102) (risk 1.5 to return 2.97)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Cavaliers
37
23
33
27
120
Golden State Warriors img
33
38
27
31
129
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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