Cleveland at Detroit

We have been right on all five of our picks in this series thus far. In game one we knew that Cleveland would be spent after their Washington series and we took Detroit -10.5. In game two, we were on Cleveland to bounce back and keep it respectable. They covered at +11. In game three we jumped on Cleveland as a 4-star pick at +4.5 at home. Cleveland won the game outright. Then in game four, we again were on Cleveland as a 6 point home dog as well as the under. Both picks cashed. Now in game five, I've got another strong opinion on what will happen. After two outright losses as a favorite, Detroit faces a 2-2 series. Rasheed Wallace's guaranteed victory in game four was not to be. This Detroit team is now angry - very angry. After getting fat heads most of the season, they are now feeling disrespected. They are as motivated as a team can be. They want nothing more than to send a message to the Cleveland Cavaliers and the league. This is their house and their year. They are going to put the Cavs in their place tonight. Detroit has had two terrible shooting performances in a row. They shot 33% from the field last game! When I see great teams have that kind of performance in the NBA playoffs, I look for a strong bounce-back in the following game. The Pistons scored 100 points per game at home this season while allowing 89. After two sub-40% FG performances, things will return to normal tonight. This game is not at home for Cleveland and they aren't in a must-win situation so things are very different than game two. The Cals are 14-26 ATS over the past two seasons on the road vs. winning teams including 4-13 vs. elite teams that outscore opponents by 3+ points per game. Detroit is 17-5 ATS at home vs. winning teams (60%+ SU). Detroit in huge blowout here.