This pick was released to clients on May 25, 2023 at 11:19AM ET.
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Cleveland at Boston

May 25, 2017
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There is great value on the far better and healthier team in a close-out spot. The betting public expected an angry blowout in Game 4 and it was -- in the second half, though not enough for the full game cover. Shorthanded Boston can't match up with Cleveland, a team that is on a 6-0-1 ATS run on the road, and hasn't lost on the road in the playoffs. The Cavaliers shot 59.5% in Game 4 and have hit 10, 16, 19 and 11 three-pointers in the four games. In the first two games in Boston, Cleveland shot 56.5% and 48%, winning 117-104 and 130-86. Cleveland is on a 14-6 run OVER the total, 36-16-1 OVER against the Eastern Conference and 25-9-1 OVER when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game. Boston is getting crushed on the boards again and won't be able to keep their season alive. The Celtics defense doesn't match up well and they will have to run, on an 8-1-1 OVER the total at home, as well as 8-2 OVER following a defeat. The road team has covered five straight when these teams clash and the Cavs have covered six of the last seven on this court. Play Cleveland and the OVER.

1 unit on Cleveland -10 (-101) (risk 1 to return 1.99)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 216 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Cavaliers img
43
32
34
26
135
Boston Celtics
27
30
17
28
102
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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