This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 1:37PM ET.
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Chicago at Washington

May 6, 2005
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

After losing the first two games in this series, the Wizards have reeled off three straight wins and now look to close out the series at home. Can the Wizards cover the six point spread? Hard to say - that's a pretty good line. However, I do think this one will go OVER regardless of who wins and by how much. Four of the five games in this series have gone OVER the total. The one game that did not missed the final total line by 1/2 point and 205 points were still scored in that one. The average total score in the five previous games has been over 211. Games featuring a team off a 100+ point performance 3 straight games facing an opponent after scoring 110 points or more have gone OVER 65% of the time over the past five seasons. Also, games with a total of 200 to 209.5 featuring a road team off a 110+ point game and a combined score of 215 points or more have gone over 77% of the time over the past five seasons. The Bulls are 21-9 OVER after allowing 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons and a perfect 7-0 OVER in road games when playing with triple revenge (3 straight losses vs. opponent) this season. Both teams come out firing here and we'll go with the OVER for two stars.

2 units on Game Total OVER 207 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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