img NBA

Chicago at Phoenix

November 15, 2007
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

These teams both have been playing a different game this year, or playing the same game and getting different results. Translation? Less scoring! The Bulls combined scoring this season is down 10 full points from where it was a year ago, and a similar story is unfolding for the Suns. The Suns games are down a full eight points from just a season ago. Neither team has hit its offensive stride. If we look at the last time these teams met the total was at 206. This one is set at 204, a drop of two points, while the teams are both down a total of 18 points between them. The result has been 64.3% UNDERS between them. These teams have the "OVER" appeal and that makes for opposite results, as surprisingly, both were UNDER teams a year ago and even more so now. History tells us UNDER is the way to go as well. Road teams that are being outscored by 3+ with a total of 200+ have played UNDER in 39 of the last 51! That is 76.5% of the time. We will ride the value here, which is on the UNDER.

3 units on Game Total UNDER 204 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Chicago Bulls
22
24
29
27
102
Phoenix Suns
26
30
19
37
112
odds odds
 
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