Chicago at Miami

The Chicago Bulls shocked the Miami Heat in Game One, but it has been all Heat since then. Miami has won the last three games by a combined 70 points. That 70-point margin is the second largest in the last 10 years. The Bulls' roster is depleted with injuries to three key star players in Deng, Hinrich, and Rose. While they were competitive at the start, the wear and tear of playing shorthanded, with players getting little or no rest, has rendered this team uncompetitive. The Heat have now gone 17 games over the last two seasons in the first and second rounds of the playoffs to strangle opponents' offenses to 95 points or less in all 17 games. Those numbers have been even better this season, as they are allowing an extremely stingy 83.9 points per game. While we rarely see lines this high in the playoffs just four times in the last decade, those four heavy chalks all had no problem as they won the games by an average of 20 ppg. Lay the points and take the home team.