This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:21PM ET.
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Chicago at Miami

April 24, 2006
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The totals for the last two games these teams played in Miami were set at 194 and 194.5. The results were 210 and 217. Yet, the total for tonight's game is set at 195.5 - just one point higher than the previous game as the oddsmakers stubbornly refuse to hike the total despite the recent perfornaces. We will continue to ride the trend and take the over as it is obvious that games in Miami are fast paced as the Heat are more comfortable in their home court. It's also obvious that Miami can't guard Miami's backcourt whose strength is the perimiter shot. Hinrich and Gordon are lighting it up from the outside and keeping up with the fast paced game that Williams and Wade are forcing. The bottom line is that Miami does not want this to be a half court game which Chicago is comfortable with as it takes away from Miami's strength in their athleticism off the dribble and running up and down the court. I expect another OVER in this game as the OVER is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Miami. This game should sail over 200 again.

4 units on Game Total OVER 195.5 -110 (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
WIN
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