Chicago at Miami

Chicago showed on Sunday that they can beat Miami. Granted, that was far from a meaningful game like this one but it tells me something that the Bulls handed the Heat their worst home loss in four years. Chicago is a gritty team that never gives up (good when laying big points). They have 14 straight-up wins this season in games in which they were trailing by 10+ points at one point. They are playing at their peak, having won 11 of 14 games to get here. It's a good matchup for the Bulls. They shoot well from beyond the arc and those are exactly the types of teams against which Miami struggles. The Heat are just 4-15 ATS this season vs. teasm that attpempt 18+ 3pt shots per game (1-9 ATS in second half). While Miami is certainly a great team, they remain overvalued by the public who are enamored with Wade and the Diesel as the Heat are just 36-45 ATS overall this year including 16-24 at home. Chicago meanwhile had a winning record but SU and ATS on the road this season, in large part to their three-point shooting - they conected on 38.2% of their bombs. Miami should win but this seems like too many points.