This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 4:54PM ET.
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Chicago at Denver

February 8, 2006
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Denver has lost seven straight games against the spread and while Chicago is slumping (lost 4 straight), they have covered the spread in six of their last eight. Chris Duhon may miss this game but Ben Gordon has picked up the slack. Chicago historically does well against poor defensive teams like Denver (who is allowing 108 per game over their last five). Road teams coming off a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games, allowing 92-98 PPG on the season are 32-7 (82%) ATS versus poor defensive teams (>98 PPG) since 1996. And, over that same span, road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more facing an opponent after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games are 43-17. Two stars on the Bulls plus the points here.

2 units on Chicago +5.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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