Charlotte at Oklahoma City

Seattle is 2-16 in their last 18 games. They recently hit rock bottom giving up 168 to the Nuggets, a performance that will stick in the gambler's memory for a while, backing most off the Sonics. We have successfully faded them quite a bit of late but we finally think there is value - a lot - in taking them tonight. Seattle is just 8-24 straight-up over their last 32 but good at 18-13-1 ATS over those same 32 games. They have now covered three in a row. Charlotte is now favored on the road for just the 4th time in franchise history. A bad team with seven road wins on the season is deemed superior to another team on the road in the NBA? A team that is a disaster as a favorite all together going 4-9 ATS in their last 13? This is the same team that went to Memphis about 10 days ago as a favorite vs a Memphis team that was 1-14 in their last 15 games, and lost by 18. The reality is Seattle is 11-24 at home in the tough West, and Charlotte is 7-28 on the road vs the weaker East. The Bobcats are just 12-21 ATS overall on the road this year including 1-8 ATS in games with a total set at 200+. They are also coming into this game off a big emotional road upset of the Lakers. This is also a team that has had losing streaks of seven, five and five games in their last 26, and is 1-4 ATS in their last five. So they aren't exactly playing at a high level. We'll grab the Sonics as a highly valued home dog.