img NBA

Charlotte at Miami

November 4, 2007
img6:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

What's wrong with Miami? They lost their last two regular season games last year, got swept in the playoffs and have lost two in a row this year. That's 15 straight losses if you're counting. Dwyane Wade is out and Shaq has been terrible. This is not the Heat we have come to know. They are averaging just 82.5 points per game and 44.5 in the first half. But, they are playing some defense (allowing 89 per game, 48 in the first half). Miami is hitting just 40% from the field and 46% from the charity stripe. When coming off a game in which they hit under 60% of their free throws, the Heat have gone UNDER the first half total 28 out of 41 times the past three seasons. The last 35 times they hit under 50% from the line, they went UNDER the first half total 25 times. We expect Riley to have his defense clamp down until they can emerge from their scoring slump. We like this first half to be very low-scoring.

4 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 95 -110 (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Charlotte Hornets
27
28
20
15
90
Miami Heat
27
21
15
25
88
odds odds
 
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