This pick was released to clients on April 15, 2023 at 11:58AM ET.
img NBA

Brooklyn at Philadelphia

April 15, 2023
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Brooklyn brings a 6-8 SU, 5-9 ATS run into Game 1 of the playoffs. That included getting whipped at home in the finale by these 76ers, 134-105. The Nets are 32-45 ATS after playing a home game. They focus on defense, just 19th in points scored, but the defense is 10th in points surrendered and fourth in field goal shooting allowed. Brooklyn is 33-21 UNDER the total against teams that shoot 46%+ from the field and 10-1 UNDER when revenging a loss to an opponent as a home favorite. No. 3 seed Philadelphia has stars Joel Embiid and James Harden rested and healthy for this opener. The 76ers are third in the NBA defensively in points given up, 13th in field goal shooting allowed, and fifth at defending the 3-pointer, while the offense is sixth in shooting, No. 1 from long range (38.7%), and No. 1 from the free-throw line (83.5%). Philadelphia is 35-23 ATS as a favorite, plus 29-13 ATS when playing four or fewer games over 10 days. They're also 46-26 UNDER the total versus teams that shoot 48%+ from the field in the second half of the season. Play Philadelphia + UNDER the total as a Max Play

1 unit on Philadelphia -8.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Game Total UNDER 215.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Brooklyn Nets
25
33
23
20
101
Philadelphia 76ers img
30
37
26
28
121
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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