This pick was released to clients on May 19, 2024 at 12:17PM ET.
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Boston at Miami

May 19, 2022
img8:45 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Boston had a 62-54 halftime lead Tuesday and things were looking good for Game 1, but they forgot to show up for the third quarter. Miami went on a 22-2 run, outscoring Boston by 25 points in the third, eventuall winning 118-107. The Heat came out and played more physical after half-time and the Celtics were thrown off, finishing with 16 turnovers. Boston gets a chance to adjust and correct mistakes in Game 2, and will come out ready from the start at the beginning of both halves. They still got good production from Jayson Tatum, who scored 29 points, and Jaylen Brown (24 points), and they were playing without Marcus Smart and Al Horford. Smart is questionable and Horford is doubtful for this game. The game went OVER by 21.5 points even with Boston's disastrous third period, and six of the past nine meetings have soared OVER. The OVER is 9-4 in Boston's last 13 road games and 19-7 in the Heat's last 26 conference finals games. The Celtics are 11-4-1 ATS their last 16 games overall and 7-1-1 ATS as road underdogs, and they have bounced back to cover four of five after losing by double digits. Play the Celtics and the OVER.

1 unit on Boston +3.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 206.5 -107 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Boston Celtics img
35
35
26
31
127
Miami Heat
24
21
26
31
102
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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