Boston at Golden State

Golden State may have been overconfident on Thursday as it was 21-2 in Game 1s dating to the 2014-15 season and 9-0 at home this postseason, but the Warriors won't be anymore as they already are in a near must-win spot after losing Game 1, 120-108. The Warriors haven't lost back-to-back games in more than two months, and they haven't lost any consecutive games in 2021-22 with Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green in the lineup. The Warriors have won five straight following a loss, and now they know they can't let up against Boston, which has enjoyed comeback wins throughout the playoffs. Don't expect the Celtics to score 40 points in the fourth quarter again or for them to shoot 51% on 3-pointers, including Al Horford hitting six of eight 3s, as they did on Thursday. The game went OVER by 13.5 points, and the OVER is 13-5-1 in Boston's last 19 games following a win by at least 10 points. Golden State has gone OVER in 11 of 16 playoff games as a favorite, and the Warriors are 15-7-1 OVER after an ATS loss (11-4 OVER in their last 15 NBA Finals games). The Celtics have also gone OVER in four of five as underdogs. Play the Warriors on the moneyline and the OVER.